2009 Depression Will Be Nothing Like 1929  

Posted by Point Enterprise

Let’s call a spade a spade and quit trying to sugar coat yesterday’s financial debacle by calling it a recession. It is obvious, we are in a full blown depression, but stacking up the Great Depression to the current situation is simply not an “apples to apples” comparison, when it comes to the stock market. There is abundance of noise alluding to the fact, that since the 1929 depression saw the stock market fall 85% from its highs, then today’s stock market must also repeat the same fate, and eventually fall to the 2100 area. Nothing could be farther from the truth.

The differences between now and then are vast:

We are in a global economy.
We have the computer, incredible technology and the ability for instant communication.
We have the internet, the single most powerful business tool. Bears, put that in your pipe and smoke it.
We have the knowledge and ability to learn from the last economic debacle-history has basically made us smarter.
Margin buying power leverage of ten to one has been reduced by 80%.
The bottom line is we have a much better economic system (with better checks and balances-not perfect) in place than we did 80 years ago and a drop of another 1500 Dow points is about as bad it will probably get, if it happens at all. We could just as easily rally 2000 points in the next month.

What to do: Don’t listen to the “end of the world” prognosticators. They are simply trying to make a name for themselves by putting out the most outlandish predictions possible. Their gloom and doom stance should be taken with a grain of salt (maybe they are heavily invested on the short side) as everybody seems to have a “spin” these days, including me. Many figure if they throw enough garbage against the wall, something will stick. They should be ashamed of their sensationalistic antics. Their attempt to achieve some type of notoriety is simply disgusting.

This entry was posted on Friday, March 6, 2009 at 8:22 AM . You can follow any responses to this entry through the comments feed .

1 comments

Anonymous  

First let me say - nice layout.

Now as to Recession or Depression, I believe it is all relevant. For those that have lost most if not all of their investments in the stock market, lost their jobs, retirement funds, homes, businesses and everything else - IT IS A DEPRESSION.

For those who have lost only some of their financial holdings it is a Recession.

The stock market is down over 55% and continuing to delicne. This is a "crash". The jobless rate has officially hit 8.1%. Much lower then during the Great Depression in terms of percentage but then again - much higher in terms of people. We have a much larger population now then we did then.

Nothing in the economy is flowing or doing well. Citigroup stock is trading below $1, GM is about to file for BK despite teh "handout" of billions we gave them.

One must only look around at reality not the "spin" of doomers and gloomers. Many of the doomers and gloomers are suffering as in a depression.

The truth must be known by all so that all can take protective measures to "survive". By jading the truth as our government always does works against the masses and for the classes who are in the know.

There is no money on the street, ther is no credit (which is probably a good thing right now). There is NO production and our onlly commodity - speculation on speculative things has ended. So we have no goods to produce, sell and create profits from and our past system of crating profits out of nothing more then thn air has ended.

If you "ain't got nothing" and "can't make nothing" then you must be pretty depressed which leads me to believe we are in a Depression.

March 6, 2009 at 1:12 PM

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